Lets expound on that a bit.
Space weatherThere are currently 24 solar cycles that have been recorded/measured. In red is the current cycle, with the rest superimposed. Solar max is lackluster at best in the current cycle, with only a few showing any difference. That's misleading at best.
Total solar irradiance TSI is on the decline, but
cosmic ray flux, and
neutron flux are on an extreme rise on average.
Starting with TSI, one of the base problems with keeping track of it is the old standard was 1,365 W m–2.
TSIThe IPCC, which is often quoted for 'climate change' data should really check their archive pages before spouting off the new numbers of 1,361 W m-2. Just in case they wise up, here is a quote;
So how does that mesh up with this?
It doesn't mesh up at all. 1361 W m-2 is the 'new' norm. This was changed by the IPCC, NASA, etc. That 4 W m-2 difference may not sound significant, but when we are talking about what warms the earth and is used for the basis for the 'current' climate change models, that difference has a dramatic effect. Since modern weather models are also derived from that data in part, it screws up those models as well. That is the evidence for the TSI having fallen, and all data that was derived from it, skewed.
Now we get to the Cosmic ray surge, and neutron flux surge we have seen in recent years. That to is left out of the narrative.
Starting with the neutron flux, historically, it has an inverse relationship with solar cycles. During solar minimums, it rises, during solar maximums, it decreases. With that in mind, we are a month past the current solar maximum. Since 1964, the average broke well into the negative category every solar maximum since it's been measured.
Until now. Then there are the cosmic rays...
That record was shattered for an all time high during the last solar minimum. It has an inverse relationship with solar cycles in the same manner as the neutron flux doe's.
That gets us to the magnetosphere.
Jan. 2014 reportpbsThe magnetosphere has weakened significantly. A weakened magnetosphere will allow in more of those highly charged particles into our upper atmosphere layers, and penetrate the same to deeper denser layers of it as well.
There are other sources of highly charged particles entering our atmosphere as well. It was recently discovered by pioneer, and the IBEX discovered that the interstellar wind has changed, and that a weakened solar wind has allowed more highly charged ions to penetrate into the inner solar system I.E. earth.
Why do these highly charged particles matter? For one, they create more clouds in the upper atmosphere. More clouds means more reflected energy rather than transmitted energy. In my opinion, this is what the climate change folks have either totally missed, or don't understand. This is what screwed with their models, and made the warming period for the earth 'stop' for the last 15 years. This is demonstrated by the decreased TSI numbers.
Further, the cloud creation is a secondary effect from the spike in cosmic spallation. Isotopes of Be10, and others have had a massive increase in the past few years. Those cosmic spallation events are evidenced by the overall measured decrease in the earths atmosphere.
discoveryThey have been rooting around for years now trying to pin it on Co2, but cannot come up with a viable reason. With the focus on Co2 in vain attempts to explain why their models died, they totally overlooked this little problem. There should be an increase in upper atmosphere size during solar maximum with more gas to be heated in the thermosphere. Instead, the opposite has occurred, and it's left them scratching their collective heads.
If one were to back fit the data to observed empirical phenomenon, rather than manipulate the data from the observed phenomenon to make their broken models work, they would understand we are collectively on the brink of extreme climate change, but not for the reasons they are trying to justify.
We have seen and measured these effects before. They are called Maunder, Sporer, and Dalton Minimums.
I.E. mini ice ages. The world as a whole is totally screwed if I am right, if for no other reason than a massive decrease in food production coming no later than 2017 if not before.
I have back fitted that data to the best of my ability and the picture it paints is a very grim one. The immediate effects would be melting of Antarctic ice, but an increase in the North pole ice. A massive change in kelvin waves for the pacific, changes in the sea level all around, and a slowing, if not a full stop of the thermohaline ocean current. Dry air will settle over the west coast and stay, the 'tornado' belt would intensify and shift east, the jet stream over the north pole would also start getting squirrely shifting south, with massive rains during the summer periods for the northern hemisphere on the downside of that jet stream. The 'tropic belt' would expand, pushing the zone where cyclones and hurricanes form further north, with fewer, but stronger storms on tap. Those same storms will begin to interact with the polar jet stream, potentially creating massive storm systems during the winter.
Then again, Al Gore knows best, and John Kerry assures us the coast lines will drown. I just slept at a holiday inn...
